61 17 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
686 123 Strength Momentum |
693 38.1(60) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/27/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.005 | 689 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 654 | 45% | |
09/01/15 | at Taos | 0.006 | 952 | L 2- 8 | Expected (-3) | 531 | 15% | |
09/02/15 | Capital | 0.014 | 947 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 801 | 21% | |
09/04/15 | Robertson ? | 0.007 | 717 | L 0- 6 | Worse (-6) | 382 | 50% | |
09/08/15 | ATC | 0.036 | 393 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 574 | 87% | |
09/14/15 | Desert Academy ?? | 0.069 | 564 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 509 | 70% | |
09/17/15 | Pojoaque !! | 0.116 | 689 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 722 | 54% | |
09/18/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.018 | 1182 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 430 | 2% | |
09/24/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.208 | 654 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 554 | 59% | |
09/29/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.321 | 698 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-2) | 576 | 53% | |
10/01/15 | St. Michael's | 0.082 | 1182 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-3) | 508 | 4% | |
10/07/15 | Bernalillo | 0.599 | 836 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 695 | 34% | |
10/16/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.853 | 698 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 626 | 53% | |
10/19/15 | at Santa Fe Prep ! | 0.907 | 654 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 736 | 50% | |
10/20/15 | at ATC | 0.836 | 393 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 656 | 82% | |
10/23/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.856 | 564 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 741 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe Indian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 693, while
Santa Fe Indian's "weighted playing strength" is 671
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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